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Fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings for week 14

Fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings for week 14

by Matt Commins | Posted on Saturday, June 29th, 2013
| 2361 baseball fanatics read this article

 

The matchups and statistical data were pulled Saturday morning. Please be aware the matchups are subject to change.

Top Starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

1

Stephen Strasburg

WSH

MIL, SD

2.41

24.3%

7.3%

2

Clayton Kershaw

LAD

@COL, @SF

2.08

24.9%

7.0%

3

Jordan Zimmermann

WSH

MIL, SD

2.28

17.9%

3.8%

4

Homer Bailey

CIN

SF, SEA

3.88

24.5%

6.0%

5

Patrick Corbin

ARI

@NYM, COL

2.22

19.6%

6.7%

6

Doug Fister

DET

@TOR, @CLE

3.50

18.6%

3.7%

7

Jered Weaver

LAA

STL, BOS

4.15

18.0%

7.0%

8

Yu Darvish

TEX

HOU

2.95

33.4%

7.7%

9

Cliff Lee

PHI

ATL

2.51

22.9%

3.9%

10

Adam Wainwright

STL

@LAA

2.31

23.3%

2.2%

11

Matt Harvey

NYM

ARI

2.00

29.8%

5.4%

12

Max Scherzer

DET

@TOR

3.10

31.2%

6.0%

13

Chris Sale

CWS

@TB

2.75

26.9%

5.9%

14

Justin Verlander

DET

@TOR

3.90

26.3%

8.4%

15

Jeff Samardzija

CHC

PIT

3.39

26.2%

7.7%

16

Johnny Cueto

CIN

SF

3.33

21.0%

7.2%

17

Felix Hernandez

SEA

@TEX

2.70

26.7%

4.8%

18

Hisashi Iwakuma

SEA

@TEX

2.42

23.2%

3.9%

19

James Shields

KC

CLE

2.99

21.8%

6.9%

20

Shelby Miller

STL

@LAA

2.79

26.9%

5.9%

21

Mike Minor

ATL

MIA

2.98

23.3%

4.9%

22

Madison Bumgarner

SF

LAD

3.20

24.6%

7.2%

Additional Information: Johnny Cueto left his start with a latissimus injury Friday night. He’s been on the DL two times this year with a right latissimus strain. It is unclear how much time he will miss, if any, but he wiped away tears as he walked off the field, which tells me it can’t be good. I haven’t believed in Patrick Corbin all year, but he’s tied for the most quality starts in the majors with 14 and gets an opportunity to pitch against the Mets. Hisashi Iwakuma is a really good pitcher, but eventually his .233 BABIP will regress and he’s not going to end the year with more than the 14 wins he’s projected to have. Sell now.

Backend Starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

23

Kris Medlen

ATL

MIA, @PHI

3.02

18.0%

6.2%

24

Lance Lynn

STL

@LAA, MIA

3.52

23.7%

9.2%

25

John Lackey

BOS

SD, @LAA

2.99

22.3%

5.2%

26

Cole Hamels

PHI

@PIT, ATL

4.58

21.9%

7.3%

27

Jose Fernandez

MIA

SD, @STL

2.98

24.2%

9.2%

28

Ervin Santana

KC

OAK

2.74

20.4%

4.4%

29

Hyun-Jin Ryu

LAD

@SF

2.85

20.1%

7.7%

30

Bartolo Colon

OAK

CHC

2.79

14.7%

3.1%

31

Jarrod Parker

OAK

CHC

4.27

16.6%

8.7%

32

Mat Latos

CIN

SEA

3.05

23.4%

6.6%

33

Gio Gonzalez

WSH

SD

3.31

23.9%

10.3%

34

CC Sabathia

NYY

@MIN

4.15

20.1%

4.8%

35

Matt Garza

CHC

@OAK

3.83

22.9%

7.3%

36

Julio Teheran

ATL

MIA

3.12

20.5%

4.3%

37

Derek Holland

TEX

SEA

3.14

22.4%

6.2%

38

Matt Cain

SF

@CIN

4.54

23.2%

7.0%

39

Hiroki Kuroda

NYY

BAL

2.77

16.9%

5.2%

Additional Information: Matt Cain has been vintage Cain in his past four starts with a 2.02 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. However, in five career starts at Great America Ballpark, he has a 3.44 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, which doesn’t make him a must-start. Don’t look now, but Matt Garza, in his last three starts, has a 26.7 percent strikeout rate, 5.8 percent walk rate with a 0.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. With the trade deadline quickly approaching, the list of contending ball clubs looking for additional pitching will be long. With a successful track record in both the NL and AL, Garza will play the final two months for a contending team, most likely an NL West team, according to Buster Olney. Buy low right now. After a hot start to begin the year, Lance Lynn has only been mediocre with a 4.13 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his last nine starts. However, he plays on the best team in the NL and gets an opportunity to pitch against the Marlins.

Spot Starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

40

Corey Kluber

CLE

@KC

4.16

23.2%

4.4%

41

A.J. Griffin

OAK

CHC, @KC

3.56

19.2%

5.9%

42

Andrew Cashner

SD

@WSH

3.34

16.9%

6.3%

43

Gerrit Cole

PIT

PHI

3.70

10.9%

4.0%

44

Dillon Gee

NYM

ARI

4.82

19.6%

5.6%

45

David Phelps

NYY

@MIN

4.01

22.0%

9.6%

46

Joe Kelly

STL

MIA

3.86

18.5%

6.8%

47

Ian Kennedy

ARI

@NYM

5.21

20.0%

7.9%

48

Jon Lester

BOS

SD

4.61

19.3%

8.5%

49

Ryan Dempster

BOS

@LAA

4.16

22.9%

10.7%

50

Matt Moore

TB

@HOU, CWS

3.94

21.8%

12.6%

51

Yovani Gallardo

MIL

@WSH, NYM

4.19

18.8%

8.5%

52

Tommy Milone

OAK

@KC

4.06

18.0%

5.7%

53

Paul Maholm

ATL

@PHI

3.75

17.2%

6.4%

54

Kyle Lohse

MIL

NYM

3.69

15.0%

4.0%

55

Mike Leake

CIN

SF

2.61

16.0%

5.1%

56

Ricky Nolasco

MIA

@ATL

3.93

18.8%

5.7%

57

Tyler Chatwood

COL

LAD

2.13

17.9%

8.7%

58

Zack Greinke

LAD

@COL

3.94

17.6%

6.2%

59

Josh Johnson

TOR

DET

5.22

21.9%

8.0%

60

Rick Porcello

DET

@CLE

5.27

19.5%

4.5%

61

Chris Tillman

BAL

@NYY

3.72

19.1%

9.2%

62

C.J. Wilson

LAA

BOS

3.88

20.4%

9.6%

63

Travis Wood

CHC

@OAK

2.85

18.2%

7.8%

Additional Information: Despite a good-looking box score in his last outing against the Blue Jays, Matt Moore has been wildly inconsistent all year, looking masterful one inning and looking like Mike Oquist the next inning. With two above-average matchups against the Astros and White Sox, now is the time to put him in your starting lineups. If he performs well, trade him (non-keeper leagues) because his inconsistency will ruin your ratios at any time. Gerrit Cole may not provide the strikeout numbers his stuff warrants, but he has looked really good in all of his starts. With the vast majority of his pitches thrown with a velocity greater than 94 mph, hitters will eventually catch up to or time his fastball, which will limit his effectiveness as the season progresses. For this week, start Cole with confidence. Even after two horrible starts for Rick Porcello, I’m not jumping off the bandwagon. He pitched effectively in his last start, but a lot of balls found holes and became hits, which is evidenced by a .476 BABIP. If he’s available in your league, go get him. A must-sit was my initial reaction when I saw Chris Tillman was facing the Yankees, in Yankee Stadium. However, in the past month, the Yankees have the lowest OPS and wOBA (weighted on-base average) in majors, not the AL, but the majors.

Proceed With Caution

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

64

Bronson Arroyo

CIN

SF, SEA

3.61

13.1%

4.6%

65

Wade Miley

ARI

@NYM, COL

4.55

17.0%

7.9%

67

Nick Tepesch

TEX

HOU

4.60

16.4%

6.1%

68

Francisco Liriano

PIT

@CHC

2.30

26.2%

9.4%

69

Andy Pettitte

NYY

@MIN, BAL

4.22

18.6%

6.4%

66

Tim Hudson

ATL

@PHI

4.10

17.8%

6.5%

70

Chris Archer

TB

@HOU

4.20

19.0%

12.9%

71

Zack Wheeler

NYM

@MIL

3.19

16.0%

16.0%

72

Kyle Gibson

MIN

NYY

73

Ross Detwiler

WSH

MIL

4.13

12.5%

4.5%

74

Jeff Locke

PIT

PHI, @CHC

2.06

17.4%

10.7%

75

Phil Hughes

NYY

@MIN, BAL

4.82

20.4%

6.4%

76

Allen Webster

BOS

SD

9.50

17.4%

9.3%

77

Hector Santiago

CWS

BAL

3.59

24.1%

11.7%

78

Edwin Jackson

CHC

PIT

5.84

19.5%

8.8%

79

Justin Masterson

CLE

DET

3.76

24.3%

9.1%

80

Jordan Lyles

HOU

TB

3.67

17.6%

6.1%

81

Bud Norris

HOU

TB

3.35

16.5%

7.4%

82

Alex Colome

TB

@HOU

64

Bronson Arroyo

CIN

SF, SEA

3.61

13.1%

4.6%

Additional Information: Jeff Locke has a 3.84 FIP, which is nearly two points higher than his ERA. Also, Locke is a command and control pitcher with fringe average stuff. If I were a betting man, I would take the over on a 3.90 ERA by the end of the year. For a more in-depth “scouting” report on Locke please go here. In the month of June, Tim Hudson (five starts) has a 1.82 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. During this time, he’s generating ground balls nearly 60 percent of the time and striking out 19 percent hitters. Among starting pitchers, Doug Fister has the highest ground-ball rate with 58 percent for the year.

Avoid

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

83

Mark Buehrle

TOR

MIN

4.73

15.1%

6.8%

84

R.A. Dickey

TOR

DET, MIN

4.72

16.9%

8.9%

85

Justin Grimm

TEX

SEA, HOU

5.56

18.0%

7.2%

86

Martin Perez

TEX

SEA

2.37

10.3%

5.1%

87

Jeremy Hellickson

TB

CWS

5.11

18.4%

5.7%

88

Randall Delgado

ARI

@NYM

4.05

18.6%

4.7%

89

Jose Quintana

CWS

BAL

3.97

17.0%

7.3%

90

John Danks

CWS

BAL, @TB

4.68

18.6%

2.3%

91

Drew Pomeranz

COL

@ARI

92

Jake Westbrook

STL

MIA

2.21

10.0%

10.0%

93

Tim Lincecum

SF

@CIN, LAD

4.64

22.5%

9.9%

94

Jason Hammel

BAL

@CWS, @NYY

5.09

16.2%

7.8%

95

Kevin Correia

MIN

@TOR

3.82

12.7%

3.8%

96

Felix Doubront

BOS

@LAA

4.33

21.7%

10.3%

97

Jeremy Guthrie

KC

CLE

4.11

11.3%

8.3%

98

Eric Stults

SD

@BOS

3.20

16.1%

4.8%

99

Ubaldo Jimenez

CLE

DET

4.57

22.9%

11.9%

100

Esmil Rogers

TOR

DET

3.46

14.2%

7.5%

Additional Information: In Mark Buehrle’s last six starts, he’s quietly started to rebound from a poor beginning to the season with a 2.75 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. There’s quite a bit of luck with the ERA, but if you’re looking for a spot start that won’t hurt your ratios, Buehrle is a solid option. Of course, after I say Jeremy Hellickson should dropped in all leagues, he rattles off two quality starts in a row. On paper, this is a great matchup, but after watching his past two starts, I’m not entirely convinced he’s turned a corner. Drew Pomeranz is the biggest wild card of the list. His biggest problem last year was the lack of a put-away pitch and poor command of his change-up. Without command of the change-up, he’s a two-pitch pitcher who will have a difficult time finding success the second and third time through a lineup. However, he currently has a 10.09 K/9 in triple-A, the highest it’s been since 2011. Trevor Cahill, in his last seven starts has a 7.34 ERA, 1.66 WHIP with a .362 BABIP. His biggest problem has been location of the sinker, which has resulted in a .329/.378/.500 slash line.

Post By Matt Commins (51 Posts)

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