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Fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings for week 22

Fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings for week 22

by Matt Commins | Posted on Saturday, August 31st, 2013
| 1061 baseball fanatics read this article

 

The matchups and statistical data were pulled Saturday morning. Please be aware these fantasy baseball starting pitcher matchups are subject to change.

Top starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

1

Stephen Strasburg

WSH

@PHI, @MIA

2.96

26.0%

7.6%

2

Madison Bumgarner

SF

@SD, ARI

2.91

23.8%

7.8%

3

Cole Hamels

PHI

WSH, ATL

3.58

21.6%

5.6%

4

Clayton Kershaw

LAD

@COL, @CIN

1.72

25.3%

5.9%

5

Adam Wainwright

STL

@CIN, PIT

2.96

23.2%

3.4%

6

Felix Hernandez

SEA

@KC, TB

2.97

25.7%

5.3%

7

Hiroki Kuroda

NYY

CWS, BOS

2.89

17.9%

4.5%

8

Homer Bailey

CIN

STL, LAD

3.55

24.0%

5.7%

9

Chris Sale

CWS

@NYY, @BAL

3.00

26.5%

5.3%

10

Jose Fernandez

MIA

@CHC

2.30

27.2%

8.4%

11

Cliff Lee

PHI

ATL

3.07

23.3%

4.0%

12

Yu Darvish

TEX

@OAK

2.68

33.4%

8.6%

13

Mike Minor

ATL

@PHI

2.99

22.3%

5.6%

14

David Price

TB

@LAA

3.28

20.3%

3.7%

15

Zack Greinke

LAD

@CIN

2.86

19.4%

6.7%

16

Jered Weaver

LAA

TB

3.46

19.8%

5.8%

17

Max Scherzer

DET

@BOS

2.73

28.7%

6.1%

Additional Information: If you remove the first two starts of the year, Cole Hamels has a 3.13 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 22.2 percent strikeout rate and 5.3 walk rate. Last year, he had a 3.05 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 24.9 strikeout rate and 6 percent walk rate. Hamels is easily a top 10-15 pitcher next year. Since the All-Star break, the Philadelphia Phillies are 29th in OPS (the Marlins are 30th). Other than the Atlanta Braves, stream pitchers facing the NL East. Since 2008, Homer Bailey’s ERA has decreased year over year. If Bailey’s ERA stays in the 3.40-3.70 range he’ll most likely be a great value in drafts in 2014.

Backend starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

18

Derek Holland

TEX

@OAK, @LAA

3.00

22.4%

7.5%

19

Mat Latos

CIN

STL, LAD

3.03

23.1%

6.7%

20

Gio Gonzalez

WSH

@PHI

3.72

23.7%

9.7%

21

Francisco Liriano

PIT

@MIL

2.74

24.9%

9.5%

22

Shelby Miller

STL

@CIN

2.90

26.4%

7.2%

23

Danny Salazar

CLE

NYM

3.67

30.2%

8.5%

24

Alex Wood

ATL

@PHI

2.27

26.0%

7.9%

25

A.J. Burnett

PIT

@STL

3.18

25.6%

8.6%

26

Julio Teheran

ATL

NYM

3.08

21.5%

6.0%

27

Anibal Sanchez

DET

@KC

2.61

26.7%

7.4%

28

Hisashi Iwakuma

SEA

TB

3.03

21.5%

4.7%

29

Ervin Santana

KC

SEA

3.21

19.4%

5.6%

30

Jordan Zimmermann

WSH

@PHI

3.32

18.4%

4.9%

31

Alex Cobb

TB

@LAA

2.87

22.3%

7.7%

32

Justin Verlander

DET

@KC

3.73

22.0%

8.5%

33

Eric Stults

SD

SF

3.72

15.0%

5.2%

34

C.J. Wilson

LAA

TEX

3.36

20.9%

9.1%

35

James Shields

KC

DET

3.14

19.4%

7.7%

36

Matt Garza

TEX

@LAA

3.68

21.4%

6.1%

37

Jarrod Parker

OAK

TEX

3.58

17.1%

8.0%

Additional Information: Since being acquired by the Padres, Eric Stults, in 20 home starts, has a 2.89 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. I keep writing about him every week because he’s still only owned in 67 percent of NFBC leagues. Since being acquired by the Texas Rangers, Matt Garza has pitched fairly well with a 4.44 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. What’s the most promising is he’s reduced his walk rate from 6.8 percent to 5 percent and is throwing more strikes (five percentage points more). Since coming off the DL in May, Ivan Nova has the sixth-lowest ERA (2.47) among starters with at least 10 starts; Jarrord Parker is seventh with 2.48. Despite both pitchers having tough matchups, I would feel confident starting them.

Spot starters

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

39

Chris Archer

TB

@LAA, @SEA

2.82

17.3%

7.8%

40

Chris Tillman

BAL

@CLE, CWS

3.66

20.3%

8.7%

41

Danny Duffy

KC

SEA, DET

1.10

26.2%

7.7%

42

Travis Wood

CHC

MIA, MIL

3.09

17.5%

8.0%

43

Matt Moore

TB

@LAA, @SEA

3.41

22.6%

11.0%

44

Justin Masterson

CLE

BAL, NYM

3.49

24.0%

9.4%

45

John Lackey

BOS

DET, @NYY

3.19

21.1%

5.2%

46

Doug Fister

DET

@BOS, @KC

3.80

17.4%

4.5%

47

Jake Peavy

BOS

@NYY

3.99

21.2%

4.9%

48

Patrick Corbin

ARI

@SF

2.79

21.5%

6.3%

49

Joe Kelly

STL

PIT

2.91

15.4%

8.9%

50

Scott Feldman

BAL

CWS

3.87

17.7%

7.1%

51

Jeff Samardzija

CHC

MIA

4.03

23.3%

8.7%

52

Felix Doubront

BOS

@NYY

3.74

20.5%

9.4%

53

Scott Kazmir

CLE

NYM

4.25

21.6%

7.7%

54

Hector Santiago

CWS

@NYY

3.25

22.5%

10.7%

55

Tyler Chatwood

COL

@SD

3.15

16.6%

7.7%

56

Andrew Cashner

SD

COL

3.56

16.8%

7.2%

57

Dan Haren

WSH

@MIA

4.66

20.5%

4.1%

58

Kris Medlen

ATL

NYM

3.74

17.9%

5.9%

59

Sonny Gray

OAK

HOU

3.18

26.1%

7.8%

60

Wei-Yin Chen

BAL

CWS

3.76

15.9%

6.8%

61

Kyle Lohse

MIL

@CHC

3.39

15.9%

4.8%

62

Carlos Torres

NYM

@ATL

2.96

17.2%

3.5%

63

Dillon Gee

NYM

@ATL

3.69

17.1%

6.0%

64

Lance Lynn

STL

@CIN

4.02

22.3%

8.8%

65

Zack Wheeler

NYM

@CLE

3.42

21.1%

10.1%

Additional Information: In the last seven starts before going on the DL, Matt Moore looked like he was turning the corner. His walk rate went from 12 percent to 9.3 percent, and his strikeout rate increased five percentage points (to 25.8 percent). That said, Moore’s performance this year has been extremely inconsistent, so fantasy owners in weekly leagues have an extremely tough decision. I own Moore in my most important (weekly) league and I’m rolling the dice with him. Currently, Tyler Chatwood is expected to start on Sunday against the Red, and if his stuff looks sharp, he’s another great streaming candidate with a start in San Diego. Even if the stuff isn’t so sharp, he’ll be able to get away with more mistakes in that ballpark. Since the All-Star break, the Yankees and Mets are 22nd and 23rd, respectively, in the majors in OPS. You can stream pitchers against these offenses.

Proceed with caution

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

66

Tony Cingrani

CIN

STL

2.76

28.6%

10.0%

67

R.A. Dickey

TOR

@MIN

4.38

18.5%

8.0%

68

Gerrit Cole

PIT

@MIL

3.81

18.1%

5.4%

69

Brandon McCarthy

ARI

TOR, @SF

5.03

14.7%

4.4%

70

Nathan Eovaldi

MIA

WSH

3.75

17.0%

9.3%

71

Henderson Alvarez

MIA

@CHC, WSH

3.89

13.9%

6.4%

72

Jacob Turner

MIA

WSH

3.12

14.7%

10.1%

73

Andrew Albers

MIN

@HOU, TOR

2.92

9.3%

2.1%

74

Robbie Erlin

SD

SF

5.96

14.4%

8.0%

75

Joseph Ross

SD

COL

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

76

Taijuan Walker

SEA

@KC

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

77

Edwin Jackson

CHC

MIA

4.90

17.7%

7.7%

78

Mike Leake

CIN

LAD

3.27

14.4%

5.8%

79

Bud Norris

BAL

@CLE, CWS

4.13

18.1%

8.8%

80

Wade Miley

ARI

TOR, @SF

3.55

17.6%

7.8%

81

Jose Quintana

CWS

@NYY, @BAL

3.66

20.0%

7.0%

82

Jon Lester

BOS

DET, @NYY

3.97

19.3%

7.8%

83

Jon Niese

NYM

@CLE

3.69

16.7%

8.5%

84

A.J. Griffin

OAK

HOU

3.94

19.0%

6.8%

85

Bronson Arroyo

CIN

STL

3.41

15.7%

3.8%

86

Rick Porcello

DET

@BOS

4.49

18.2%

5.6%

87

Hyun-Jin Ryu

LAD

@COL

3.08

20.2%

6.8%

88

Ricky Nolasco

LAD

@COL

3.26

19.7%

5.6%

Additional Information: Since the All-Star break, R.A. Dickey has been extremely effective. His walk rate has decreased two percentage points (to 6.6 percent) and his strikeout rate has increased nearly six percentage points (to 22.4 percent). In 2014, Dickey will most likely be one of sleepers in 2014 because I think the market will overlook and undervalue him. A.J. Griffin has a great matchup against the Astros, but Griffin isn’t very good. He leads the majors in home runs allowed (32) despite pitching in of the best pitchers parks and pitcher-friendly divisions. Taijuan Walker made his debut Friday night against the Astros and he got better as the game progressed. His fastball sat 93-94 and touched 97 mph a couple of times; the pitch had good arm-side run that bored in on right-handed hitters. His best secondary pitch was the cutter, which had good arm-side run. He threw a couple of show-me curveballs and change ups. If he can develop some consistency with the curveball and change-up he will be extremely good. With an approximate 160 innings cap, Walker may only have one more start the rest of the year, so fantasy owners should use all their FAAB trying to acquire him.

Avoid

Rank

Name

Team

Opp.

ERA

K%

BB%

89

Jason Vargas

LAA

TB, TEX

3.77

15.7%

7.5%

90

Paul Maholm

ATL

NYM, @PHI

4.37

15.4%

7.3%

91

Tim Lincecum

SF

@SD

4.55

24.5%

9.3%

92

Juan Nicasio

COL

@SD

4.57

16.8%

8.5%

93

Samuel Deduno

MIN

@HOU

3.69

14.1%

9.0%

94

Ryan Vogelsong

SF

ARI

5.58

17.9%

8.2%

95

Martin Perez

TEX

@OAK

3.58

15.5%

7.0%

96

Bartolo Colon

OAK

TEX, HOU

2.97

13.3%

4.0%

97

Dan Straily

OAK

TEX, HOU

4.42

18.9%

8.5%

98

Ethan Martin

PHI

WSH

6.34

22.3%

12.6%

99

Ian Kennedy

SD

SF, COL

5.09

19.9%

9.7%

100

Jarred Cosart

HOU

MIN

1.59

12.3%

12.7%

101

CC Sabathia

NYY

CWS

4.81

19.9%

6.7%

Additional Information: Roy Halladay did not make my top 101 because his stuff looked depressed and hittable; his fastball sat 87-88 mph. Also, his command was off as evidenced by the two hit batsman. It seems like every week I have Jason Vargas in the mid-to-late 80s as a shot-in-the-dark start. In the last two seasons, Vargas has had a game ERA above five if 29 percent of the time. This week with two starts at home, Vargas has an opportunity to provide two quality starts for fantasy owners. Bartolo Colon’s fastball, in his first start off the DL, averaged 89.5 mph and maxed out at 93.4 mph. Prior to going on the DL, he was throwing the fastball with much more velocity, touching 96 mph at times. Colon relies on the fastball more than any starting pitcher in league, and if his fastball doesn’t have the same giddyup, then Colon isn’t startable.

Post By Matt Commins (51 Posts)

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