NAIA Baseball Rankings and Projections #2

TTFB presents a new NAIA Baseball Rankings, one centered on a strength index of how a team has competed thus far to a point in a season. In a nutshell, a higher ranking team has fared well against current strong opponents while lower ranked (and some high ranked) teams lose points for “bad” losses.

You’ll notice a tie isn’t in any records below. We hate ties and we award no points for such a result. It’s basically a game that shouldn’t have ever been played and according to our records, it never was played. This isn’t soccer.

If you see an error, record is wrong, etc – email us at Throughthefencebaseball@gmail.com. View our NAIA Baseball main page here for updated NAIA baseball rankings, draft stock, and analysis throughout the season.

Special Edition – REGIONAL WATCH #2

The image below is the current landscape for regional play as we see it. Green color are teams that have locked their automatic bids in place. Yellow team names are PROJECTED based on standings to win. They have to win that spot to claim their automatic bid. Not every conference will end up this way, there will be upsets. Blue are opening round hosts – pretty much 99% guaranteed a bid.

Below the grid are the AT LARGE and Bubble Watch teams. Can there be teams that aren’t on this list get in? Sure, there’s still time to play your way in, but time is running out. Any AT LARGE team isn’t locked. Perhaps, St. Thomas, Lyon, and Georgetown may be a guarantee, but anything can happen with these conference tournaments. Their seasons so far has pretty much locked them. Knowing that, there’s about 10 up for air AT LARGE picks currently.

And below this chart is our weekly rankings that play a part in projecting the below results with the same data (no pretty colors though). Note: JSI reflects similar to BO Chip Ranking, but differs on the point structure to better reflect how the NCAA ranks, Strength of Schedule and Quality of Wins/Losses. We THANK YOU for following us this year. We will post updates throughout tournaments.

We’ve added the most recent BoChip and Coaches poll to the rankings so that you may see where teams are trending on all three.

JSI	School Name	Wins	Losses	Points	Coach Poll	BoChip	Conference
1	Southeastern - FL	47	8	14.85	1	3	Sun Conference
2	Tennessee Wesleyan	44	8	17.60	2	1	Appalachian Athletic
3	Faulkner - AL	42	10	13.95	3	4	Southern States
4	Georgia Gwinnett	39	11	11.80	4	5	AII Conference
5	Cumberlands - KY	40	6	13.90	5	2	Mid-South
6	St. Thomas - FL	43	11	10.40	6	8	AT LARGE
7	Science & Arts	44	6	12.90	7	6	Sooner Athletic
8	Oklahoma City	43	11	12.95	8	7	Sooner Athletic
9	Freed-Hardeman - TN	39	14	11.00	9	12	American Midwest
10	Middle Georgia State	37	12	10.20	10	14	Southern States
11	LSU Shreveport	42	10	11.65	11	9	Red River
12	Oklahoma Wesleyan	39	9	10.30	12	15	Kansas Collegiate
13	Georgetown - KY	39	11	10.55	13	11	AT LARGE
14	Texas Wesleyan	41	12	8.20	14	20	AT LARGE
15	William Jessup - CA	33	13	9.75	15	13	Golden State
16	Bryan - TN	35	13	11.40	16	10	Appalachian Athletic
17	Central Methodist - MO	32	12	9.60	17	16	Heart Of America
18	Benedictine Mesa - AZ	43	12	7.45	18	27	AT LARGE
19	Webber International - FL	33	18	6.25	19	28	AT LARGE
20	Lyon - AR	37	18	10.30	20	21	AT LARGE
21	Bellevue - NE	39	14	9.70	21	22	North Star
22	Westmont - CA	34	13	9.65	22	19	AT LARGE
23	Indiana Tech	33	14	8.65	23	18	Wolverine Conference
24	Indiana Southeast - IN	34	16	9.25	24	17	River States
25	Arizona Christian	35	22	6.35	25	35	AT LARGE
26	Keiser - FL	32	19	4.35	26	43	AT LARGE
27	Truett-McConnell - GA	27	17	8.00	27	25	AT LARGE
28	Rio Grande - OH	34	18	6.85	29	29	AT LARGE
29	The Master's - CA	33	17	8.60	30	24	AT LARGE
30	Antelope Valley - CA	30	16	4.75	31	32	CalPac/Frontier/Cascade
31	Missouri Baptist - MO	33	15	6.60	32	23	AT LARGE
32	Southwestern Christian - OK	38	13	3.75	33	49	Bubble Watch
33	Saint Xavier - IL	32	13	4.25	35	37	Chicagoland
34	Lewis-Clark State - ID	32	13	4.90	37		HOST SCHOOL
35	McPherson - KS	36	15	4.45	37	48	Kansas Collegiate
36	Mobile - AL	33	18	5.75	38	40	Bubble Watch
37	Hope International - CA	34	15	7.55		26	Bubble Watch
38	Bethel - TN	28	18	6.90		33	Bubble Watch
39	Madonna - MI	32	18	6.80		34	Bubble Watch
40	Reinhardt - GA	28	22	6.30		44	Bubble Watch
41	Point - GA	29	21	5.75		50	Bubble Watch
42	Huntington - IN	26	12	5.25		31	Crossroads
43	Warner - FL	32	19	5.15		41	Bubble Watch
44	Jarvis Christian - TX	30	21	5.10		46	Bubble Watch
45	Campbellsville - KY	28	18	4.80		42	Bubble Watch
46	William Penn - IA	33	10	4.75		30	Bubble Watch
47	Concordia - NE	29	17	4.50			Great Plains
48	Jamestown - ND	31	16	4.35			Great Plains
49	Vanguard - CA	31	20	4.25		45	Bubble Watch
50	Point Park - PA	31	15	4.25			Bubble Watch
51	Tabor - KS	36	16	4.20			Bubble Watch
52	Mount Vernon Nazarene - OH	36	15	4.10		36	Crossroads
53	Blue Mountain - MS	25	23	4.00
54	Our Lady of the Lake - TX	28	22	3.85
55	Sterling - KS	27	20	3.85
56	Cumberland - TN	28	21	3.75
57	Columbia - MO	25	19	3.70		47	American Midwest
58	IU Kokomo - IN	34	15	3.60		38	River States
59	St. Francis - IL	28	19	3.35			Chicagoland
60	Clarke - IA	25	19	3.25			Heart Of America
61	William Carey - MS	23	24	3.20
62	Talladega - AL	24	23	3.00
63	LSU Alexandria - La	30	22	3.00			Red River
64	Benedictine - KS	25	12	2.90		38
65	York - NE	25	19	2.40
66	Bluefield - VA	23	23	2.35
67	Central Baptist - AR	25	25	2.30
68	Mount Mercy - IA	25	21	2.20
69	Mount Marty - SD	25	19	2.20
70	Concordia - MI	34	16	2.10
71	Taylor - IN	35	16	2.10
72	Robert Morris (Ill.)	27	17	1.80
73	Union - KY	24	22	1.80
74	Lawrence Tech - MI	33	14	1.60			Wolverine Conference
75	Thomas - GA	24	24	1.60
76	MidAmerica Nazarene - KS	18	14	1.60
77	Wayland Baptist - TX	23	19	1.55
78	Martin Methodist - TN	28	23	1.55
79	Morningside - IA	26	17	1.55
80	Texas A&M Texarkana	27	27	1.45
81	British Columbia	27	18	1.40			Cascade Conference
82	Northwestern - IA	21	23	1.25
83	Dakota Wesleyan - SD	22	20	1.10
84	Marian - IN	25	17	1.00
85	Harris-Stowe State - MO	20	27	1.00
86	Lindenwood-Belleville - IL	28	25	0.95
87	Ave Maria - FL	16	30	0.90
88	Midland - NE	21	23	0.75
89	Milligan - TN	20	24	0.70
90	Olivet Nazarene - IL	29	14	0.50
91	Mid-America Christian - OK	18	24	0.45
92	Briar Cliff - IA	22	26	0.40
93	Trinity Christian - IL	26	18	0.40
94	Ottawa (Ariz.) - AZ	21	28	0.30
95	Indiana Wesleyan	21	28	0.25
96	Marymount California	21	19	0.20
97	Baker - KS	22	25	0.20
98	Texas College	24	27	-0.10
99	Southwest - NM	29	23	-0.15
100	Midway - KY	25	25	-0.30
101	Waldorf - IA	28	20	-0.35
102	Kansas Wesleyan	24	22	-0.50
103	Goshen - IN	18	27	-0.60
104	Culver-Stockton - MO	21	28	-0.60
105	Ottawa - KS	20	26	-0.60
106	Pikeville - KY	23	24	-0.70
107	Cornerstone - MI	18	24	-0.95
108	Grand View - IA	13	22	-1.10
109	Peru State - NE	20	22	-1.10
110	Southwestern - KS	18	27	-1.20
111	Oklahoma Panhandle State	17	23	-1.20
112	Doane - NE	17	29	-1.30
113	Presentation - SD	19	22	-1.40
114	Asbury - KY	24	20	-1.55
115	Park - MO	22	21	-1.55
116	Fisher - MA	34	14	-1.55			AII Conference
117	University of Northwestern Ohi	18	25	-1.60
118	College of the Ozarks - MO	23	27	-1.70
119	Siena Heights - MI	20	22	-1.70
120	USC Beaufort (S.C.)	22	30	-1.70
121	St. Andrews - NC	21	29	-1.85
122	Evangel - MO	19	23	-1.85
123	Montreat - NC	24	29	-1.90
124	William Woods - MO	23	28	-2.10
125	Missouri Valley	15	29	-2.20
126	Friends - KS	18	32	-2.20
127	Michigan-Dearborn	18	24	-2.25
128	Menlo - CA	15	25	-2.30
129	Houston-Victoria - TX	18	30	-2.30
130	Valley City State - ND	18	23	-2.60
131	Florida Memorial	21	27	-2.80
132	Bethany - KS	25	27	-2.90
133	Lourdes - OH	15	24	-3.00
134	Mayville State - ND	19	23	-3.10
135	Corban - OR	19	29	-3.10
136	Spring Arbor - MI	21	26	-3.20
137	Simpson - CA	18	24	-3.25
138	St. Ambrose - IA	14	25	-3.30
139	Edward Waters - FL	25	30	-3.40
140	Wiley - TX	19	26	-3.70
141	Grace - IN	14	26	-3.80
142	Aquinas - MI	12	30	-4.05
143	Hannibal-LaGrange - MO	20	30	-4.15
144	Cleary (Mich.) - MI	12	24	-4.20
145	Roosevelt - IL	12	26	-4.25
146	Judson - IL	15	30	-4.35
147	WVU Tech	19	29	-4.50
148	Williams Baptist - AR	15	33	-4.50
149	Saint Mary - KS	11	29	-4.50
150	Viterbo - WI	11	29	-4.50
151	Hastings - NE	11	30	-4.65
152	Shawnee State - OH	17	25	-4.70
153	Voorhees - SC	6	12	-4.80
154	Stillman - AL	13	28	-4.95
155	Brewton-Parker - GA	16	35	-5.00
156	Avila - MO	11	31	-5.10
157	Lindsey Wilson - KY	8	34	-5.30
158	Crowley's Ridge - AR	13	29	-5.35
159	Dordt - IA	8	28	-5.40
160	Loyola - LA	21	33	-5.45
161	San Diego Christian - CA	11	36	-5.80
162	Brescia - KY	12	32	-5.95
163	Bethel - IN	10	27	-5.95
164	Florida National - FL	8	33	-6.00
165	College of Idaho	16	35	-6.10
166	Indiana South Bend - IN	13	36	-6.15
167	SAGU - TX	21	28	-6.30
168	La Sierra - CA	11	28	-6.55
169	Saint Francis - IN	13	40	-7.40
170	Trinity International - IL	19	31	-7.40
171	Rust - MS	4	19	-7.50
172	Graceland - IA	6	34	-7.50
173	Rochester - MI	7	35	-7.75
174	Oregon Tech	13	35	-7.75
175	Providence Christian - CA	8	34	-7.80
176	Huston-Tillotson - TX	9	38	-8.00
177	Tougaloo - MS	5	29	-8.10
178	LC - IL	3	14	-8.50
179	Kentucky Christian	4	24	-8.55
180	Morris - SC	1	11	-8.70
181	Lincoln Christian - Il	8	25	-9.10
182	Central Christian - KS	4	39	-9.10
183	Ohio Christian	11	34	-9.25
184	Dakota State - SD	3	35	-9.25
185	Cincinnati Christian - OH	13	39	-9.35
186	College of Saint Joseph	0	7	-9.40
187	Calumet - IN	8	38	-11.25
188	Bacone - OK	2	28	-11.85