NAIA Baseball Rankings and Projections #2


TTFB presents a new NAIA Baseball Rankings, one centered on a strength index of how a team has competed thus far to a point in a season. In a nutshell, a higher ranking team has fared well against current strong opponents while lower ranked (and some high ranked) teams lose points for “bad” losses.

You’ll notice a tie isn’t in any records below. We hate ties and we award no points for such a result. It’s basically a game that shouldn’t have ever been played and according to our records, it never was played. This isn’t soccer.

If you see an error, record is wrong, etc – email us at Throughthefencebaseball@gmail.com. View our NAIA Baseball main page here for updated NAIA baseball rankings, draft stock, and analysis throughout the season.

Special Edition – REGIONAL WATCH #2

The image below is the current landscape for regional play as we see it. Green color are teams that have locked their automatic bids in place. Yellow team names are PROJECTED based on standings to win. They have to win that spot to claim their automatic bid. Not every conference will end up this way, there will be upsets. Blue are opening round hosts – pretty much 99% guaranteed a bid.

Below the grid are the AT LARGE and Bubble Watch teams. Can there be teams that aren’t on this list get in? Sure, there’s still time to play your way in, but time is running out. Any AT LARGE team isn’t locked. Perhaps, St. Thomas, Lyon, and Georgetown may be a guarantee, but anything can happen with these conference tournaments. Their seasons so far has pretty much locked them. Knowing that, there’s about 10 up for air AT LARGE picks currently.

And below this chart is our weekly rankings that play a part in projecting the below results with the same data (no pretty colors though). Note: JSI reflects similar to BO Chip Ranking, but differs on the point structure to better reflect how the NCAA ranks, Strength of Schedule and Quality of Wins/Losses. We THANK YOU for following us this year. We will post updates throughout tournaments.

We’ve added the most recent BoChip and Coaches poll to the rankings so that you may see where teams are trending on all three.

JSISchool NameWinsLossesPointsCoach PollBoChipConference
1Southeastern -
FL
47814.8513Sun
Conference
2Tennessee Wesleyan44817.6021Appalachian Athletic
3Faulkner - AL421013.9534Southern
States
4Georgia Gwinnett391111.8045AII Conference
5Cumberlands -
KY
40613.9052Mid-South
6St. Thomas - FL431110.4068AT LARGE
7Science &
Arts
44612.9076Sooner
Athletic
8Oklahoma City431112.9587Sooner Athletic
9Freed-Hardeman
- TN
391411.00912American
Midwest
10Middle Georgia State371210.201014Southern States
11LSU Shreveport421011.65119Red
River
12Oklahoma Wesleyan39910.301215Kansas Collegiate
13Georgetown - KY391110.551311AT
LARGE
14Texas Wesleyan41128.201420AT LARGE
15William Jessup
- CA
33139.751513Golden
State
16Bryan - TN351311.401610Appalachian Athletic
17Central
Methodist - MO
32129.601716Heart
Of America
18Benedictine Mesa - AZ43127.451827AT LARGE
19Webber
International - FL
33186.251928AT
LARGE
20Lyon - AR371810.302021AT LARGE
21Bellevue - NE39149.702122North
Star
22Westmont - CA34139.652219AT LARGE
23Indiana Tech33148.652318Wolverine
Conference
24Indiana Southeast - IN34169.252417River States
25Arizona
Christian
35226.352535AT
LARGE
26Keiser - FL32194.352643AT LARGE
27Truett-McConnell
- GA
27178.002725AT
LARGE
28Rio Grande - OH34186.852929AT LARGE
29The Master's -
CA
33178.603024AT
LARGE
30Antelope Valley - CA30164.753132CalPac/Frontier/Cascade
31Missouri
Baptist - MO
33156.603223AT
LARGE
32Southwestern Christian - OK38133.753349Bubble Watch
33Saint Xavier -
IL
32134.253537Chicagoland
34Lewis-Clark State - ID32134.9037HOST SCHOOL
35McPherson - KS36154.453748Kansas
Collegiate
36Mobile - AL33185.753840Bubble Watch
37Hope
International - CA
34157.5526Bubble
Watch
38Bethel - TN28186.9033Bubble Watch
39Madonna - MI32186.8034Bubble
Watch
40Reinhardt - GA28226.3044Bubble Watch
41Point - GA29215.7550Bubble
Watch
42Huntington - IN26125.2531Crossroads
43Warner - FL32195.1541Bubble
Watch
44Jarvis Christian - TX30215.1046Bubble Watch
45Campbellsville
- KY
28184.8042Bubble
Watch
46William Penn - IA33104.7530Bubble Watch
47Concordia - NE29174.50Great
Plains
48Jamestown - ND31164.35Great Plains
49Vanguard - CA31204.2545Bubble
Watch
50Point Park - PA31154.25Bubble Watch
51Tabor - KS36164.20Bubble
Watch
52Mount Vernon Nazarene - OH36154.1036Crossroads
53Blue Mountain -
MS
25234.00
54Our Lady of the Lake - TX28223.85
55Sterling - KS27203.85
56Cumberland - TN28213.75
57Columbia - MO25193.7047American
Midwest
58IU Kokomo - IN34153.6038River States
59St. Francis -
IL
28193.35Chicagoland
60Clarke - IA25193.25Heart Of America
61William Carey -
MS
23243.20
62Talladega - AL24233.00
63LSU Alexandria
- La
30223.00Red
River
64Benedictine - KS25122.9038
65York - NE25192.40
66Bluefield - VA23232.35
67Central Baptist
- AR
25252.30
68Mount Mercy - IA25212.20
69Mount Marty -
SD
25192.20
70Concordia - MI34162.10
71Taylor - IN35162.10
72Robert Morris (Ill.)27171.80
73Union - KY24221.80
74Lawrence Tech - MI33141.60Wolverine Conference
75Thomas - GA24241.60
76MidAmerica Nazarene - KS18141.60
77Wayland Baptist
- TX
23191.55
78Martin Methodist - TN28231.55
79Morningside -
IA
26171.55
80Texas A&M Texarkana27271.45
81British
Columbia
27181.40Cascade
Conference
82Northwestern - IA21231.25
83Dakota Wesleyan
- SD
22201.10
84Marian - IN25171.00
85Harris-Stowe
State - MO
20271.00
86Lindenwood-Belleville - IL28250.95
87Ave Maria - FL16300.90
88Midland - NE21230.75
89Milligan - TN20240.70
90Olivet Nazarene - IL29140.50
91Mid-America
Christian - OK
18240.45
92Briar Cliff - IA22260.40
93Trinity
Christian - IL
26180.40
94Ottawa (Ariz.) - AZ21280.30
95Indiana
Wesleyan
21280.25
96Marymount California21190.20
97Baker - KS22250.20
98Texas College2427-0.10
99Southwest - NM2923-0.15
100Midway - KY2525-0.30
101Waldorf - IA2820-0.35
102Kansas Wesleyan2422-0.50
103Goshen - IN1827-0.60
104Culver-Stockton - MO2128-0.60
105Ottawa - KS2026-0.60
106Pikeville - KY2324-0.70
107Cornerstone -
MI
1824-0.95
108Grand View - IA1322-1.10
109Peru State - NE2022-1.10
110Southwestern - KS1827-1.20
111Oklahoma
Panhandle State
1723-1.20
112Doane - NE1729-1.30
113Presentation -
SD
1922-1.40
114Asbury - KY2420-1.55
115Park - MO2221-1.55
116Fisher - MA3414-1.55AII Conference
117University of
Northwestern Ohi
1825-1.60
118College of the Ozarks - MO2327-1.70
119Siena Heights -
MI
2022-1.70
120USC Beaufort (S.C.)2230-1.70
121St. Andrews -
NC
2129-1.85
122Evangel - MO1923-1.85
123Montreat - NC2429-1.90
124William Woods - MO2328-2.10
125Missouri Valley1529-2.20
126Friends - KS1832-2.20
127Michigan-Dearborn1824-2.25
128Menlo - CA1525-2.30
129Houston-Victoria
- TX
1830-2.30
130Valley City State - ND1823-2.60
131Florida
Memorial
2127-2.80
132Bethany - KS2527-2.90
133Lourdes - OH1524-3.00
134Mayville State - ND1923-3.10
135Corban - OR1929-3.10
136Spring Arbor - MI2126-3.20
137Simpson - CA1824-3.25
138St. Ambrose - IA1425-3.30
139Edward Waters -
FL
2530-3.40
140Wiley - TX1926-3.70
141Grace - IN1426-3.80
142Aquinas - MI1230-4.05
143Hannibal-LaGrange
- MO
2030-4.15
144Cleary (Mich.) - MI1224-4.20
145Roosevelt - IL1226-4.25
146Judson - IL1530-4.35
147WVU Tech1929-4.50
148Williams Baptist - AR1533-4.50
149Saint Mary - KS1129-4.50
150Viterbo - WI1129-4.50
151Hastings - NE1130-4.65
152Shawnee State - OH1725-4.70
153Voorhees - SC612-4.80
154Stillman - AL1328-4.95
155Brewton-Parker
- GA
1635-5.00
156Avila - MO1131-5.10
157Lindsey Wilson
- KY
834-5.30
158Crowley's Ridge - AR1329-5.35
159Dordt - IA828-5.40
160Loyola - LA2133-5.45
161San Diego
Christian - CA
1136-5.80
162Brescia - KY1232-5.95
163Bethel - IN1027-5.95
164Florida National - FL833-6.00
165College of
Idaho
1635-6.10
166Indiana South Bend - IN1336-6.15
167SAGU - TX2128-6.30
168La Sierra - CA1128-6.55
169Saint Francis -
IN
1340-7.40
170Trinity International - IL1931-7.40
171Rust - MS419-7.50
172Graceland - IA634-7.50
173Rochester - MI735-7.75
174Oregon Tech1335-7.75
175Providence
Christian - CA
834-7.80
176Huston-Tillotson - TX938-8.00
177Tougaloo - MS529-8.10
178LC - IL314-8.50
179Kentucky
Christian
424-8.55
180Morris - SC111-8.70
181Lincoln
Christian - Il
825-9.10
182Central Christian - KS439-9.10
183Ohio Christian1134-9.25
184Dakota State - SD335-9.25
185Cincinnati
Christian - OH
1339-9.35
186College of Saint Joseph07-9.40
187Calumet - IN838-11.25
188Bacone - OK228-11.85

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